Florham Park, NJ… Look at the events surrounding the New York Jets:
1. QB Options : With the departure of Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts in the latest quarterback blockbuster, the focus shifted to the Jets and Sam Darnold. Will they go along with the merry-go-round by trading Darnold, or will they give him another chance?
The clock is ticking. If the Jets don’t make a decision before NFL Free Agency kicks off (March 17), they risk losing the market for Darnold. This is a tough decision because it’s not just about Darnold, but also about recruiting a quarterback with the overall second pick; another consideration is the amount of starting money they’ll receive in the various Darnold trade/retention scenarios.
Let’s have some fun and extrapolate how the project might go in each situation (not necessarily in order of probability):
| Select | View, post office, school. |
|---|---|
| 2 | Zach Wilson, QB, BYU. |
| 19 | (from WFT, via SEA) Gregory Russo, DE, Miami. |
| 34 | Aaron Robinson, QB, UCF. |
| 51 | (From WFT) Issues Bateman, RR, Minnesota. |
| 66 | Wyatt Davis, G., Ohio. |
| 87 | Michael Carter, RB, UNC |
Scenario 1: Swap with Darnold and get a quarterback. Publicly, the Jets have not committed to Darnold. Taken literally, it means they want to upgrade… as they should. If they trade their former quarterback in the future, that means they will be traded for a quarterback in the draft. We think it will be BYU’s Zach Wilson, assuming Trevor Lawrence is the number one Jacksonville Jaguar.
Some believe the Jets could get more for Darnold than the Philadelphia Eagles could get for Wentz – a third-round pick in 2021 and a conditional second-round pick in 2022 that could turn into a first-round pick depending on the season. Wentz is a 2017 MVP candidate, but he also has baggage – a big contract, a history of injuries and questions about his coaching abilities. As a source in the league said, Darnold is cheap. He has two years left [on his contract, including a five-year option]. Great guy, bad team.
In our projection, the Jets trade Darnold to the Washington football team to trade picks from the first round (#19 and #23), second round (#51) and third round (#2022). The only warning is from Deshaun Watson. If the Houston Texans decide to trade their star, the Jets should be prepared for a quick turnaround. By taking Watson out of the equation, the Jets can get away with these spikes and prospects (see table in scenario 1).
| Select | View, post office, school. |
|---|---|
| 2 | Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU. |
| 23 | Queenie Pay, DE, Michigan. |
| 34 | Aaron Robinson, QB, UCF. |
| 66 | Wyatt Davis, G., Ohio. |
| 87 | Michael Carter, RB, UNC |
Scenario 2: This is Darnold, the best choice. The Jets reportedly received business requests for Darnold from a handful of teams.
A source at one of these teams suggested that Darnold would not make a deal. If so, the Jets can use their startup capital to build around it. If they opt for the status quo – which is risky given Darnold’s overwhelming performance – their prospects could look like this (see table in scenario 2):
Scenario 3: Get Darnold, make the switch. The Jets can be killed if the quarterback team underneath wants to switch places.
The most likely contenders are the Atlanta Falcons (No. 4), the Philadelphia Eagles (No. 6) and the Carolina Panthers (No. 8). That’s a pretty big drop, but let’s extrapolate the trade with the Panthers, who seem particularly sought after for a new quarterback. In our scenario, the Jets would receive a second round Panther pick (#39) and a first round pick in 2022, giving them three first round picks in 2022.
| Select | View, post office, school. |
|---|---|
| 8 | Jaylen Waddle, RR, Alabama. |
| 23 | Queenie Pay, DE, Michigan. |
| 34 | Aaron Robinson, QB, UCF. |
| 39 | Pat Freyermuth, TE, Penn State. |
| 66 | Wyatt Davis, G., Ohio. |
| 87 | Michael Carter, RB, UNC |
Even if the Jets have doubts about Darnold, their feelings may be tempered by the size of the project. If they need to find a replacement for him in 2022, they have these three to do it. It’s called quarterback insurance.
At the same time, they could have recruited six players during the first three turns (see scenario diagram 3):
2. My day? If the Jets really want to secure safety Marcus May – and they do – it makes sense to use the franchise tag if the two sides can’t agree on a new deal. The amounts on the tags won’t be determined until the salary cap is set, but according to Over The Cap, the safety projection is $11.2 million. This is not an outrageous figure considering he is expected to exceed this guaranteed amount in a long-term contract.
Franchise day window from the 23rd. February to the 9th. Mars.
3. Compliments of the boss: Jets President and CEO Woody Johnson visited the command center Wednesday. It was his first visit to One Jets Drive since returning from the British Embassy. He took the time to look into every department, meet with coaches, HR, business people, etc. There has been a lot of rotation since he was the last manager in June 2017. At that point, he yielded the floor to his younger brother, Christopher Johnson, who accompanied him on an impromptu walk through the building on Wednesday.
Woody hasn’t spoken out publicly since he took over, but he tweeted:
It’s great to be back pic.twitter.com/JRG7sMQ9RQ
– Woody Johnson (@woodyjohnson4) February 17, 2021
4. Mosley’s in the house: Linebacker C.J. Mosley, who withdrew from the 2020 season due to concerns about VIDOC-19. Mosley has been gone so long that it’s questionable whether the Jets are contractually bound until 2021. The answer is yes.
They can’t fire him because they’re looking at $20 million, and they can’t sell him because he still has $14 million in guarantees to pay for the next two seasons. Mosley, who turns 29 in June, hasn’t played a full game since 2018. He is currently a mediocre linebacker in coach Robert Saleh’s 4-3 defense.
5. Big Ben v. Small savings: How about a great salary comparison?
The maximum charge for the entire Jets defense is $46.6 million, according to Over The Cap. The Pittsburgh Steelers’ fee for quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is $41.3 million.
In fact, the Jets would fall under Big Ben if they fired defensive lineman Henry Anderson (an $8.2 million savings). Roethlisberger also seems to be on thin ice.
play
1:49
Ryan Clark explains why he can imagine the Jets picking Zach Wilson with the #2 pick when he compares BYU’s QB to Patrick Mahomes’.
6. Captain Wilson: I said in a recent tweet that Wilson was not a captain last season at BYU. He was. Let me explain.
The tweet was based on BYU’s press release from the 4th. of September, during which eight captains (chosen by the players) for the 2020 season were announced. Wilson was not in the eighth. Shortly after he was appointed captain and he kept that position for the rest of the season. (There was no announcement, but he was wearing a T-shirt on his sweater).
According to a BYU spokesperson, he replaces captain Matt Bushman, who suffered an injury at the end of the season before the first game. So, yes, I deserve a penalty flag. No, I’m not going to take into account how many people showed up at his last birthday party.
7. Hogan Relax: Former Jets receiver Chris Hogan, 33, who announced last week that he has joined the Premier League lacrosse team, is not giving up his NFL career, according to partners Tom Ottayano and Joe Sanfilippo. But for now, Hogan is concentrating on professional lacrosse. He’s been talking about this change for 10 years, said Ottaino, a close friend who played football with Hogan at Monmouth University and had an unsuccessful tryout for the Jets in 2011. It should be fun to see Hogan, a former Penn State lacrosse star, make the transition.
Few people can say they are professional athletes in any of these sports, Ottaino said. This is a short list.
frequently asked questions
Do the Jets have a first round pick in 2021?
NFL’s Charley Casserly picked the quarterback and edge rusher in the first round of his first simulated NFL draft in 2021. … Casserly explains that Wilson’s selection follows New York’s decision to trade Sam Darnold.
How many picks will the New York Jets have in 2021?
The Jets are expected to make a total of nine picks in the next NFL draft in 2021.
How many first-round jets will you have in 2021?
The Jaguars and Jets – as well as the Miami Dolphins – have two first-round picks on that list.
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